Crypto

Before drawing a horizontal level, many chart readers first agree on what counts as a swing high. Some use a simple rule, such as a candle whose high is above the highs of the surrounding bars on each side. Others use a percentage move filt…

Rising transaction counts and active addresses often get read as a sign of growing adoption. But these metrics can be inflated by wash transfers between a user's own wallets, airdrop farming, bot activity, or exchange hot-wallet shuffling, …

Over the last few weeks a lot of threads here have circled the same thing: when crypto falls, is it because financial conditions got tighter, or because something happened inside crypto? The two can look identical on a price chart for a day…

Over the past several posts here, a lot of us have circled the same question from different angles: is a crypto move riding on broad liquidity, or standing on its own story? I keep coming back to it because the two can look identical on a c…

When crypto moves sharply, I try to first check whether it lines up with broader conditions. Things I look at are the dollar index, real yields, and the direction of central bank balance sheets. If several of those shifted at the same time,…

Technical analysis gives us a language for price structure: trend, support and resistance, and the swing points that define them. One habit that often separates a vague chart read from a useful one is naming the level where the idea stops m…

When crypto drops hard, the first thing I try to sort out is whether the move lines up with broader conditions or stands apart from them. A rough check is to look at the dollar index, real yields, and whether central bank balance sheets are…